Monday, February 1, 2010

PRELIMINARY January 2010 SST Anomaly Update

I’ve moved to WordPress.  This post can now be found at PRELIMINARY January 2010 SST Anomaly Update
############
The January 2010 SST data through the NOAA NOMADS website won’t be official until January 8th, according to the schedule on the NOAA Optimum Interpolation Sea Surface Temperature Analysis Frequently Asked Questions webpage. But NOMADS as usual has produced preliminary values. The following graphs include the preliminary Global and NINO3.4 SST anomalies for January 2010. I’ve also included the official weekly data through January 27, 2010.

Monthly NINO3.4 SST anomalies appear to have peaked in December. SST anomalies have dropped 0.23 deg C over the past month.
http://i50.tinypic.com/24zda1i.png
Monthly NINO3.4 SST Anomalies

The downturn is confirmed by the weekly NINO3.4 SST anomaly data, with the most recent value centered on January 27, 2010. It has dropped 0.71 in five weeks.
http://i50.tinypic.com/ih2vtj.png
Weekly NINO3.4 SST Anomalies

Monthly Global SST anomalies have dropped 0.032 deg C since December 2009, but that does not mean they won’t take another swing upwards or remain at the elevated levels for a month or two.
http://i50.tinypic.com/xfrujq.png
Monthly Global SST Anomalies

Weekly Global SST Anomalies are still elevated and have not yet shown a sign of taking the normal downturn in response to the drop in NINO3.4 SST anomalies.
http://i47.tinypic.com/2z7k4le.png
Weekly Global SST Anomalies

SOURCE
SST anomaly data is available through the NOAA NOMADS website:
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?lite=