Monday, August 23, 2010

Mid-August 2010 SST Anomaly Update

I’ve moved to WordPress.  This post can now be found at Mid-August 2010 SST Anomaly Update
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NOTE: The weekly OI.v2 SST data is available in two periods through the NOAA NOMADS website, from November 1981 to 1989, and from 1990 to present. The mid-month posts now include the full term of the NINO3.4 and Global SST anomalies from 1990 to present and a shorter-term view from 2004 to present to make the recent wiggles easier to see.

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NINO3.4

NINO3.4 SST anomalies for the week centered on August 18, 2010 show that central equatorial Pacific SST anomalies have reached an initial plateau. Presently they’re at -1.1 deg C, which is 0.21 deg C higher than the lowest value that occurred three weeks ago.
http://i34.tinypic.com/sg21wi.jpg
NINO3.4 SST Anomalies
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http://i38.tinypic.com/2bdwed.jpg
NINO3.4 SST Anomalies - Short-Term

GLOBAL

Weekly Global SST anomalies are still elevated and are firmly planted in a mid-year stall. They don’t appear to want to rise or fall. Will they make a sizable drop as they had during 2007?
http://i38.tinypic.com/v60nb5.jpg
Global SST Anomalies
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http://i37.tinypic.com/xctz0g.jpg
Global SST Anomalies - Short-Term

COMPARISON TO PAST LA NIÑA EVENTS

And for those wondering where the present NINO3.4 SST anomalies stack up against prior La Niña events, I’ve provided the following comparison.
http://i37.tinypic.com/e05s0w.jpg
Comparison Of La Niña Evolution – 2010 Versus 1988, 1998, and 2007

SOURCE
OI.v2 SST anomaly data is available through the NOAA NOMADS system:
http://nomad3.ncep.noaa.gov/cgi-bin/pdisp_sst.sh?lite